Transurban Group · Industrials
$14.74
-5.6%
Jun 17, 2026
D
WeakGraded against TCL's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: TCL's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
Transurban Group, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, operation, management, and maintenance of toll road networks in Australia and North America. The company operates 22 toll roads in Melbourne, Sydney, and Brisbane in Australia; the Greater Washington, the United States; and Montreal, Canada. Transurban Group was founded in 1996 and is based in Docklands, Australia.
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: TCL is 5.6% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
Transurban Group (TCL) sits 5.6% off its peak and is currently in a shallow pullback, last printing at $14.74. Shallow pullbacks like this are routine — historically Australian Stocks assets revisit a 5-10% dip several times a year, and most resolve back to highs within weeks.
TCL reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (1508 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.
Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to TCL's own volatility history. Shallow pullbacks are where dip-buying frameworks start to pay off, but only marginally. The median forward return in shallow bands is usually positive but not dramatic.
Five tickers closest to TCL's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for TCL. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of TCL's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for TCL.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy TCL at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.