Australian Stocks signal
VCX

VCX

Vicinity Centres · Real Estate

Australian StocksREIT - RetailASXAUD-1.0% from ATH
Current Price

$2.58

Drawdown from ATH

-1.0%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against VCX's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: VCX's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+1.38%
May 6Jun 17
About VCX

Vicinity Centres

Vicinity Centres (Vicinity or the Group) is one of Australia's leading retail property groups with a fully integrated asset management platform, and $24 billion in retail assets under management across 52 shopping centres, making it the second largest listed manager of Australian retail property. The Group has a Direct Portfolio with interests in 51 shopping centres (including the DFO Brisbane business) and manages 26 assets on behalf of Strategic Partners. Vicinity is listed on the Australian S

The reading

How Dipsern reads VCX right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is VCX doing right now?

In plain terms: VCX is 1% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

VCX (Vicinity Centres) is 1.0% below its historical peak. Tape reads at or near all-time highs, with the last trade at $2.58. That puts VCX in a momentum regime: buyers are in control and there's no meaningful technical damage on the chart yet.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for VCX — 958 confirmed observations in the 5%-to-0% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in australian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for VCX

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to VCX's own volatility history. At this level the Dipsern signal is mostly tracking momentum, not mean reversion. Most buying-the-dip frameworks aren't relevant when there is no dip.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to VCX's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Woolworths Group Ltd.

-0.9% from ATH

Washington H. Soul Pattinson & Co. Ltd.

-0.8% from ATH

QUBE Holdings Ltd.

-0.4% from ATH

BHP Group Ltd.

0.0% from ATH

Macquarie Group Ltd.

0.0% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for VCX. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-70% to -65%3
-65% to -60%10
-60% to -55%14
-55% to -50%105
-50% to -45%64
-45% to -40%165
-40% to -35%110
-35% to -30%101
-30% to -25%189
-25% to -20%363
-20% to -15%595
-15% to -10%483
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of VCX's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock VCX's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for VCX.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy VCX at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.