Australian Stocks signal
TLC

TLC

The Lottery Corporation Limited · Consumer Cyclical

Australian StocksGamblingASXAUD-18.4% from ATH
Current Price

$4.80

Drawdown from ATH

-18.4%

Last Updated

Sep 18, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

B

Solid

Graded against TLC's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: A solid but not standout setup based on TLC's own past dips at this level.

What to do: Fine for dollar-cost-averaging; a deeper dip has historically graded higher.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-10.29%
Aug 10Sep 18
About TLC

The Lottery Corporation Limited

The Lottery Corporation Limited engages in provision of gaming services in Australia. It operates lottery and Keno games under The Lott and Keno brand names. The company was founded in 1881 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.

The reading

How Dipsern reads TLC right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is TLC doing right now?

In plain terms: TLC is 18.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

TLC (Lottery Corporation Ltd.) is 18.4% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a moderate correction, with the last trade at $4.8. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

TLC reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (41 observations), which is a modest sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for TLC

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to TLC's own volatility history. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to TLC's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia

-18.0% from ATH

ALS Ltd.

-17.9% from ATH

Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd.

-19.0% from ATH

Westpac Banking Corporation

-17.5% from ATH

Whitehaven Coal Ltd.

-19.4% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for TLC. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-20% to -15%Current41
-15% to -10%182
-10% to -5%361
-5% to 0%474
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of TLC's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock TLC's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for TLC.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy TLC at your own broker.

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Signal computed Sep 18, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.