Australian Stocks signal
BHP

BHP

BHP Group Limited · Basic Materials

Australian StocksOther Industrial Metals & MiningASXAUD0.0% from ATH
Current Price

$65.79

Drawdown from ATH

0.0%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against BHP's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: BHP's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+16.67%
May 6Jun 17
About BHP

BHP Group Limited

BHP Group Limited operates as a resources company in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, rest of Asia, North America, South America, and internationally. The company operates through Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal segments. It also engages in the mining of copper, uranium, gold, zinc, lead, molybdenum, silver, iron ore, cobalt, and metallurgical and energy coal. In addition, the company is involved in the mining, smelting, and refining of nickel, as well as potash development activi

The reading

How Dipsern reads BHP right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is BHP doing right now?

In plain terms: BHP is 0% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now BHP — BHP Group Ltd. — is at or near all-time highs, down 0.0% from its record high. Last price: $65.79. When an asset is this close to highs, drawdown signals are mostly noise — the more useful question is whether the next 5-10% pullback will be bought aggressively.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for BHP — 3067 confirmed observations in the 5%-to-0% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in australian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for BHP

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to BHP's own volatility history. Use this snapshot to set expectations: this is where the asset is, not where it's likely to go. Drawdown-based signals only become high-conviction below shallow-pullback territory.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to BHP's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Macquarie Group Ltd.

0.0% from ATH

Sandfire Resources Ltd.

0.0% from ATH

QUBE Holdings Ltd.

-0.4% from ATH

Washington H. Soul Pattinson & Co. Ltd.

-0.8% from ATH

Woolworths Group Ltd.

-0.9% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for BHP. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-65% to -60%10
-60% to -55%50
-55% to -50%80
-50% to -45%95
-45% to -40%78
-40% to -35%257
-35% to -30%427
-30% to -25%741
-25% to -20%886
-20% to -15%1184
-15% to -10%1462
-10% to -5%2065
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of BHP's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock BHP's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for BHP.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy BHP at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.