US Stocks signal
TYL

TYL

Tyler Technologies, Inc. · Technology

US StocksSoftware - ApplicationNYQUSD-53.9% from ATH
Current Price

$298.27

Drawdown from ATH

-53.9%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against TYL's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: TYL's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-9.01%
May 5Jun 16
About TYL

Tyler Technologies, Inc.

Tyler Technologies, Inc. provides integrated software and technology management solutions for the public sector in the United States. It operates in two segments, Enterprise Software and Platform Technologies. The company designs, develops, markets, and supports a range of software solutions to serve mission-critical back-office functions. It also offers platform and transformative technology solutions, such as cybersecurity, data and insights, digital solutions, payments, platform technologies,

The reading

How Dipsern reads TYL right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is TYL doing right now?

In plain terms: TYL is 53.9% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

TYL (Tyler Technologies) is 53.9% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a severe drawdown, with the last trade at $298.27. A 35-60% drawdown is the territory where most retail investors capitulate. It's also where the highest-probability historical entries have clustered for resilient assets.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for TYL — 289 confirmed observations in the 55%-to-50% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for TYL

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for TYL reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Severe drawdowns are where Dipsern's segmentation provides the most edge: ordinary base rates don't apply, but the asset's own history at this exact depth does. The forward-return distribution here is bimodal — either rapid recovery or continued decline.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to TYL's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Hims & Hers Health

-54.2% from ATH

Dollar General

-53.2% from ATH

Dexcom

-55.1% from ATH

Comcast

-52.5% from ATH

Salesforce

-55.6% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for TYL. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-95% to -90%3
-90% to -85%76
-85% to -80%115
-80% to -75%115
-75% to -70%209
-70% to -65%232
-65% to -60%325
-60% to -55%259
-55% to -50%Current289
-50% to -45%427
-45% to -40%300
-40% to -35%263
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of TYL's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock TYL's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for TYL.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy TYL at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.