US Stocks signal
FTNT

FTNT

Fortinet, Inc. · Technology

US StocksSoftware - InfrastructureNMSUSD-5.1% from ATH
Current Price

$159.64

Drawdown from ATH

-5.1%

Last Updated

Aug 9, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against FTNT's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: FTNT's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+5.48%
Jun 26Aug 7
About FTNT

Fortinet, Inc.

Fortinet, Inc. provides cybersecurity and convergence of networking and security solutions worldwide. The company offers FortiOS, a unified operating system designed to address cybersecurity threats; FortiASIC application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC)-based security processing units; FortiCloud, a private cloud software as a service platform; FortiAI, which provides a dual-layered defense across the Fortinet Security Fabric; FortiEndpoint, which converges secure connectivity, endpoint prote

The reading

How Dipsern reads FTNT right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is FTNT doing right now?

In plain terms: FTNT is 5.1% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Fortinet (FTNT) is trading in a shallow pullback, 5.1% below its all-time high at $159.64. A move of this size is statistically unremarkable. It's the kind of pullback that bounces fast or extends into a deeper correction; the next leg is what matters.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, FTNT has spent enough trading days in the 10%-to-5% drawdown band to build a large sample (479 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for FTNT

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. This drawdown band tends to mean-revert quickly. The Dipsern win rate here is informative — if it's well above 50%, momentum traders treat these dips as buy-the-pullback setups.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to FTNT's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

KeyCorp

-5.3% from ATH

Digital Realty

-5.0% from ATH

CSX Corporation

-5.6% from ATH

Mastercard

-5.6% from ATH

Duke Energy

-5.6% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for FTNT. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-55% to -50%5
-50% to -45%14
-45% to -40%48
-40% to -35%202
-35% to -30%352
-30% to -25%547
-25% to -20%463
-20% to -15%515
-15% to -10%469
-10% to -5%Current479
-5% to 0%1048
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of FTNT's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock FTNT's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for FTNT.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy FTNT at your own broker.

Analyze FTNT Free

No credit card required · 5 free analyses per month

Signal computed Aug 9, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.