US Stocks signal
MSCI

MSCI

MSCI Inc. · Financial Services

US StocksFinancial Data & Stock ExchangesNYQUSD-12.5% from ATH
Current Price

$563.17

Drawdown from ATH

-12.5%

Last Updated

Aug 10, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against MSCI's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: MSCI's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+1.50%
Jun 26Aug 7
About MSCI

MSCI Inc.

MSCI Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides research-based data, analytics, and indexes, supported by advanced technology worldwide. The Index segment provides indexes for use in various areas of the investment process, including indexed financial products, such as ETFs, mutual funds, annuities, futures, options, structured products, and over-the-counter derivatives; performance benchmarking; portfolio construction and rebalancing; and asset allocation, as well as licenses GICS and GICS

The reading

How Dipsern reads MSCI right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is MSCI doing right now?

In plain terms: MSCI is 12.5% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, MSCI Inc. (MSCI) is trading in a moderate correction, 12.5% below its all-time high at $563.17. Corrections in this band are common during macro repricings (rate scares, sector rotations, earnings shocks). The question is whether the cause is durable or transient.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for MSCI — 754 confirmed observations in the 15%-to-10% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for MSCI

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. This is the band where most successful "buy the dip" strategies have historically operated. The median forward return here for MSCI is in the full app, alongside the segment-level win rate.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to MSCI's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Analog Devices

-12.5% from ATH

McKesson Corporation

-12.7% from ATH

Marriott International

-12.1% from ATH

Old Dominion

-13.0% from ATH

Lockheed Martin

-13.1% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for MSCI. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-70% to -65%9
-65% to -60%24
-60% to -55%64
-55% to -50%23
-50% to -45%25
-45% to -40%44
-40% to -35%97
-35% to -30%133
-30% to -25%257
-25% to -20%359
-20% to -15%609
-15% to -10%Current754
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of MSCI's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock MSCI's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for MSCI.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy MSCI at your own broker.

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Signal computed Aug 10, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.