US Stocks signal
ALLE

ALLE

Allegion plc · Industrials

US StocksSecurity & Protection ServicesNYQUSD-24.7% from ATH
Current Price

$134.87

Drawdown from ATH

-24.7%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against ALLE's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: ALLE's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+1.95%
May 5Jun 16
About ALLE

Allegion plc

Allegion plc engages in the provision of security products and solutions worldwide. It is operating through two segments: Allegion Americas and Allegion International. The company offers door controls, door control system, and exit devices; doors, glass and door systems, and accessories; electronic security products and access control systems, including time, attendance, and workforce productivity; and locks, locksets, portable locks, and key systems. It also provides services and software, such

The reading

How Dipsern reads ALLE right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is ALLE doing right now?

In plain terms: ALLE is 24.7% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Allegion (ALLE) is trading in a deep drawdown, 24.7% below its all-time high at $134.87. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for ALLE specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

ALLE reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (204 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for ALLE

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to ALLE's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

American Water Works

-25.0% from ATH

Intercontinental Exchange

-24.4% from ATH

Idexx Laboratories

-25.3% from ATH

UDR, Inc.

-23.7% from ATH

Agilent Technologies

-26.0% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for ALLE. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-45% to -40%2
-40% to -35%32
-35% to -30%92
-30% to -25%260
-25% to -20%Current204
-20% to -15%271
-15% to -10%455
-10% to -5%671
-5% to 0%1113
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of ALLE's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock ALLE's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for ALLE.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy ALLE at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.