UNP

How is UNP doing right now?

In plain terms: UNP is 3.8% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

UNP (Union Pacific Corporation) is 3.8% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a shallow pullback, with the last trade at $267.45. Shallow pullbacks like this are routine — historically US Stocks assets revisit a 5-10% dip several times a year, and most resolve back to highs within weeks.

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, UNP has spent enough trading days in the 5%-to-0% drawdown band to build a large sample (3573 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

What this means for UNP

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for UNP reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Shallow pullbacks are where dip-buying frameworks start to pay off, but only marginally. The median forward return in shallow bands is usually positive but not dramatic.