US Stocks signal
XEL

XEL

Xcel Energy Inc. · Utilities

US StocksUtilities - Regulated ElectricNMSUSD-11.8% from ATH
Current Price

$72.30

Drawdown from ATH

-11.8%

Last Updated

Sep 19, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against XEL's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: XEL's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-6.64%
Aug 7Sep 18
About XEL

Xcel Energy Inc.

Xcel Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an electric and natural gas delivery company in the United States. It operates through Regulated Electric Utility and Regulated Natural Gas Utility segments. The company generates, purchases, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity through its energy portfolio, including wind, nuclear, hydroelectric, biomass, and solar power from both owned generation facilities and PPAs, as well as its fossil fuel energy portfolio, such as coal and n

The reading

How Dipsern reads XEL right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is XEL doing right now?

In plain terms: XEL is 11.8% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

XEL (Xcel Energy) is 11.8% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a moderate correction, with the last trade at $72.3. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, XEL has spent enough trading days in the 15%-to-10% drawdown band to build a large sample (1370 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for XEL

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for XEL reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to XEL's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Prologis

-11.9% from ATH

Ecolab

-11.9% from ATH

Science Applications International Corporation

-11.8% from ATH

Garmin

-12.1% from ATH

Southern Company

-12.3% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for XEL. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-95% to -90%700
-90% to -85%1981
-85% to -80%453
-80% to -75%158
-75% to -70%174
-70% to -65%653
-65% to -60%289
-60% to -55%423
-55% to -50%89
-50% to -45%265
-45% to -40%266
-40% to -35%494
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of XEL's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock XEL's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for XEL.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy XEL at your own broker.

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Signal computed Sep 19, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.