VXX

How is VXX doing right now?

In plain terms: VXX is 99.5% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now VXX — iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN — is in a historic crash, down 99.5% from its record high. Last price: $22.57. When an asset is this far below its peak, the binary becomes recovery vs. zero. Dipsern's segmentation answers the question with data, not narratives.

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for VXX — 802 confirmed observations in the 100%-to-95% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in etfs return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

What this means for VXX

ETFs aggregate constituent behavior, so their drawdowns tend to be shallower but more persistent than single stocks. The median forward return at a given drawdown level for an ETF is usually a more stable signal than for an individual equity. In crash territory, the most informative number is the worst observed forward return — not the median. The full app shows the max-loss column for the current segment.