US Stocks signal
VLO

VLO

Valero Energy Corporation · Energy

US StocksOil & Gas Refining & MarketingNYQUSD-6.6% from ATH
Current Price

$244.13

Drawdown from ATH

-6.6%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against VLO's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: VLO's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-3.22%
May 5Jun 16
About VLO

Valero Energy Corporation

Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CAR

The reading

How Dipsern reads VLO right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is VLO doing right now?

In plain terms: VLO is 6.6% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Valero Energy (VLO) sits 6.6% off its peak and is currently in a shallow pullback, last printing at $244.13. Shallow pullbacks like this are routine — historically US Stocks assets revisit a 5-10% dip several times a year, and most resolve back to highs within weeks.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, VLO has spent enough trading days in the 10%-to-5% drawdown band to build a large sample (988 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for VLO

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for VLO reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Shallow pullbacks are where dip-buying frameworks start to pay off, but only marginally. The median forward return in shallow bands is usually positive but not dramatic.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to VLO's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Microchip Technology

-6.6% from ATH

Digital Realty

-6.6% from ATH

3M

-6.5% from ATH

Nuveen Select Tax-Free Income Portfolio

-6.8% from ATH

Palo Alto Networks

-6.8% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for VLO. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-90% to -85%52
-85% to -80%124
-80% to -75%684
-75% to -70%594
-70% to -65%491
-65% to -60%325
-60% to -55%375
-55% to -50%317
-50% to -45%363
-45% to -40%447
-40% to -35%613
-35% to -30%728
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of VLO's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock VLO's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for VLO.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy VLO at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.