Valero Energy Corporation · Energy
$413.28
0.0%
Sep 18, 2026
D
WeakGraded against VLO's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: VLO's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CAR
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: VLO is 0% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
Valero Energy (VLO) sits 0.0% off its peak and is currently at or near all-time highs, last printing at $413.28. That puts VLO in a momentum regime: buyers are in control and there's no meaningful technical damage on the chart yet.
Across all available history, VLO has spent enough trading days in the 5%-to-0% drawdown band to build a large sample (1450 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.
S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for VLO reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. At this level the Dipsern signal is mostly tracking momentum, not mean reversion. Most buying-the-dip frameworks aren't relevant when there is no dip.
Five tickers closest to VLO's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for VLO. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of VLO's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for VLO.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy VLO at your own broker.
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Signal computed Sep 18, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.