US Stocks signal
PANW

PANW

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. · Technology

US StocksSoftware - InfrastructureNMSUSD-0.7% from ATH
Current Price

$363.86

Drawdown from ATH

-0.7%

Last Updated

Aug 10, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against PANW's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: PANW's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+19.61%
Jun 26Aug 7
About PANW

Palo Alto Networks, Inc.

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. provides cybersecurity solutions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Japan. It offers Prisma Access, a secure access service edge solution; Strata Cloud Manager, a network security management solution; and Prisma AIRS to protect customers' entire AI ecosystem. It provides a comprehensive cloud native application protection platform; and Code to Cloud platform, as well as offers VM-Series and CN-Series virtual firewalls for inline netwo

The reading

How Dipsern reads PANW right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is PANW doing right now?

In plain terms: PANW is 0.7% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now PANW — Palo Alto Networks — is at or near all-time highs, down 0.7% from its record high. Last price: $363.86. When an asset is this close to highs, drawdown signals are mostly noise — the more useful question is whether the next 5-10% pullback will be bought aggressively.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, PANW has spent enough trading days in the 5%-to-0% drawdown band to build a large sample (975 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for PANW

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. Use this snapshot to set expectations: this is where the asset is, not where it's likely to go. Drawdown-based signals only become high-conviction below shallow-pullback territory.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to PANW's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Nucor

-0.8% from ATH

U.S. Bancorp

-0.8% from ATH

Cloudflare, Inc.

-0.4% from ATH

Honeywell

-1.0% from ATH

General Dynamics

-0.3% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for PANW. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-50% to -45%4
-45% to -40%91
-40% to -35%113
-35% to -30%220
-30% to -25%304
-25% to -20%444
-20% to -15%398
-15% to -10%374
-10% to -5%547
-5% to 0%Current975
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of PANW's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock PANW's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for PANW.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy PANW at your own broker.

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Signal computed Aug 10, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.