ETFs signal
TQQQ

TQQQ

ProShares UltraPro QQQ

ETFsNGMUSD-17.4% from ATH
Current Price

$72.03

Drawdown from ATH

-17.4%

Last Updated

Aug 7, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against TQQQ's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: TQQQ's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+3.68%
Jun 26Aug 7
About TQQQ

ProShares UltraPro QQQ

The fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the Daily Target. The index is designed to measure the performance of 100 of the largest Nasdaq-listed non-financial companies. Under normal circumstances, the fund will obtain leveraged exposure to at least 80% of its total assets in components of the index or in instruments with similar economic characteristics. The fund is non-diversified.

The reading

How Dipsern reads TQQQ right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is TQQQ doing right now?

In plain terms: TQQQ is 17.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) sits 17.4% off its peak and is currently in a moderate correction, last printing at $72.03. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, TQQQ has spent enough trading days in the 20%-to-15% drawdown band to build a large sample (325 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for TQQQ

For broad-index ETFs the historical base rate is exceptionally stable; for narrow thematic ETFs (e.g., ARKK, cannabis, leveraged), drawdowns are deeper and the sample size at each band is smaller. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other ETFs at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to TQQQ's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

iShares Semiconductor ETF

-17.1% from ATH

Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF

-17.8% from ATH

Global X Autonomous & Electric Vehicles ETF

-17.8% from ATH

Global X Telemedicine & Digital Health ETF

-17.9% from ATH

Global X Cloud Computing ETF

-16.9% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for TQQQ. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-85% to -80%12
-80% to -75%67
-75% to -70%80
-70% to -65%72
-65% to -60%52
-60% to -55%73
-55% to -50%75
-50% to -45%58
-45% to -40%91
-40% to -35%116
-35% to -30%202
-30% to -25%243
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of TQQQ's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock TQQQ's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for TQQQ.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy TQQQ at your own broker.

Analyze TQQQ Free

No credit card required · 5 free analyses per month

Signal computed Aug 7, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.