TPR

How is TPR doing right now?

In plain terms: TPR is 0% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now TPR — Tapestry, Inc. — is at or near all-time highs, down 0.0% from its record high. Last price: $162.36. When an asset is this close to highs, drawdown signals are mostly noise — the more useful question is whether the next 5-10% pullback will be bought aggressively.

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for TPR — 1193 confirmed observations in the 5%-to-0% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

What this means for TPR

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. Use this snapshot to set expectations: this is where the asset is, not where it's likely to go. Drawdown-based signals only become high-conviction below shallow-pullback territory.