US Stocks signal
EQR

EQR

Equity Residential · Real Estate

US StocksREIT - ResidentialNYQUSD-16.0% from ATH
Current Price

$66.40

Drawdown from ATH

-16.0%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against EQR's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: EQR's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+0.23%
May 5Jun 16
About EQR

Equity Residential

Equity Residential is committed to creating communities where people thrive. The Company, a member of the S&P 500, owns and manages 312 rental properties consisting of 85,190 apartment units in dynamic metro areas across the U.S. with a primary concentration in major coastal markets, diversified by a targeted presence in the high-growth metro areas of Atlanta, Austin, Dallas/Ft. Worth and Denver. Equity Residential was incorporated in 1993 in Maryland, USA.

The reading

How Dipsern reads EQR right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is EQR doing right now?

In plain terms: EQR is 16% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now EQR — Equity Residential — is in a moderate correction, down 16.0% from its record high. Last price: $66.4. Corrections in this band are common during macro repricings (rate scares, sector rotations, earnings shocks). The question is whether the cause is durable or transient.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

EQR reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (849 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for EQR

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. This is the band where most successful "buy the dip" strategies have historically operated. The median forward return here for EQR is in the full app, alongside the segment-level win rate.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to EQR's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Mastercard

-15.9% from ATH

ConocoPhillips

-16.2% from ATH

O’Reilly Automotive

-15.9% from ATH

ExxonMobil

-16.7% from ATH

Datadog

-16.7% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for EQR. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-70% to -65%9
-65% to -60%24
-60% to -55%45
-55% to -50%61
-50% to -45%31
-45% to -40%67
-40% to -35%164
-35% to -30%367
-30% to -25%368
-25% to -20%509
-20% to -15%Current849
-15% to -10%1241
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of EQR's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock EQR's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for EQR.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy EQR at your own broker.

Analyze EQR Free

No credit card required · 5 free analyses per month

Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.