SVXY

How is SVXY doing right now?

In plain terms: SVXY is 79.5% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (SVXY) is trading in a historic crash, 79.5% below its all-time high at $56.76. When an asset is this far below its peak, the binary becomes recovery vs. zero. Dipsern's segmentation answers the question with data, not narratives.

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for SVXY — 90 confirmed observations in the 80%-to-75% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in etfs return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

What this means for SVXY

ETFs aggregate constituent behavior, so their drawdowns tend to be shallower but more persistent than single stocks. The median forward return at a given drawdown level for an ETF is usually a more stable signal than for an individual equity. In crash territory, the most informative number is the worst observed forward return — not the median. The full app shows the max-loss column for the current segment.