Invesco WilderHill Clean Energy ETF
$40.02
-67.1%
Jun 17, 2026
C
MarginalGraded against PBW's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: PBW's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
The fund generally will invest at least 90% of its total assets in the securities that comprise the underlying index. The index is composed of stocks of publicly traded companies listed on a major exchange in the U.S. that are engaged in the business of the advancement of cleaner energy and conservation or are important to the development of clean energy. Stocks are included in the index based on the index provider's evaluation that such companies will substantially benefit from a societal trans
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: PBW is 67.1% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
Invesco WilderHill Clean Energy ETF (PBW) sits 67.1% off its peak and is currently in a historic crash, last printing at $40.02. Historic crashes (60%+ drawdowns) are rare events. For some assets they marked generational entries; for others they were warning signs of permanent capital loss.
Across all available history, PBW has spent enough trading days in the 70%-to-65% drawdown band to build a large sample (490 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.
For broad-index ETFs the historical base rate is exceptionally stable; for narrow thematic ETFs (e.g., ARKK, cannabis, leveraged), drawdowns are deeper and the sample size at each band is smaller. Crash-level drawdowns are tail events with few historical analogs. The signal should be read as "here's what happened the last few times" rather than a base-rate forecast.
Five tickers closest to PBW's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for PBW. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of PBW's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for PBW.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy PBW at your own broker.
Analyze PBW FreeNo credit card required · 5 free analyses per month
Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.