Australian Stocks signal
SUN

SUN

Suncorp Group Limited · Financial Services

Australian StocksInsurance - Property & CasualtyASXAUD-19.6% from ATH
Current Price

$18.40

Drawdown from ATH

-19.6%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against SUN's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: SUN's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+7.29%
May 6Jun 17
About SUN

Suncorp Group Limited

Suncorp Group Limited provides insurance products to retail, corporate, and commercial customers in Australia and New Zealand. The company operates through Consumer Insurance; Commercial and Personal Injury; and Suncorp New Zealand segments. It provides insurance products, including home and contents, motor, and boat insurance products; and commercial motor, commercial property, marine, industrial special risks, public liability and professional indemnity, workers' compensation, and compulsory t

The reading

How Dipsern reads SUN right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is SUN doing right now?

In plain terms: SUN is 19.6% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Suncorp Group Ltd. (SUN) is trading in a moderate correction, 19.6% below its all-time high at $18.4. Corrections in this band are common during macro repricings (rate scares, sector rotations, earnings shocks). The question is whether the cause is durable or transient.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, SUN has spent enough trading days in the 20%-to-15% drawdown band to build a large sample (628 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for SUN

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to SUN's own volatility history. This is the band where most successful "buy the dip" strategies have historically operated. The median forward return here for SUN is in the full app, alongside the segment-level win rate.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to SUN's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Steadfast Group Ltd.

-20.3% from ATH

Woodside Energy Group Ltd.

-18.8% from ATH

Newmont Corporation

-18.3% from ATH

National Australia Bank Ltd.

-21.1% from ATH

Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd.

-17.2% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for SUN. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-75% to -70%15
-70% to -65%34
-65% to -60%111
-60% to -55%60
-55% to -50%128
-50% to -45%529
-45% to -40%200
-40% to -35%226
-35% to -30%173
-30% to -25%314
-25% to -20%459
-20% to -15%Current628
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of SUN's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock SUN's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for SUN.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy SUN at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.