Australian Stocks signal
GMD

GMD

Genesis Minerals Limited · Basic Materials

Australian StocksGoldASXAUD-27.3% from ATH
Current Price

$6.12

Drawdown from ATH

-27.3%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against GMD's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: GMD's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+3.73%
May 6Jun 17
About GMD

Genesis Minerals Limited

Genesis Minerals Limited engages in the gold mining, project development and exploration activities in Western Australia. The company's Leonora Operations includes Admiral operations, Gwalia operations, Harbour Lights Project, Tower Hill project, and Ulysses operations. Its Laverton Operations include Bruno-Lewis project, Jupiter project, Laverton Gold project, Redcliffe project; and mining services. Genesis Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Perth, Australia.

The reading

How Dipsern reads GMD right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is GMD doing right now?

In plain terms: GMD is 27.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now GMD — Genesis Minerals Ltd. — is in a deep drawdown, down 27.3% from its record high. Last price: $6.12. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for GMD specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for GMD — 46 confirmed observations in the 30%-to-25% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in australian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for GMD

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to GMD's own volatility history. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to GMD's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Technology One Ltd.

-27.0% from ATH

Brambles Ltd.

-26.8% from ATH

Orica Ltd.

-28.8% from ATH

Santos Ltd.

-24.9% from ATH

Light & Wonder Inc.

-29.8% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for GMD. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-100% to -95%892
-95% to -90%865
-90% to -85%240
-85% to -80%688
-80% to -75%216
-75% to -70%180
-70% to -65%323
-65% to -60%285
-60% to -55%158
-55% to -50%95
-50% to -45%89
-45% to -40%60
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of GMD's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock GMD's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for GMD.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy GMD at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.