US Stocks signal
STLD

STLD

Steel Dynamics, Inc. · Basic Materials

US StocksSteelNMSUSD-16.6% from ATH
Current Price

$235.26

Drawdown from ATH

-16.6%

Last Updated

Sep 18, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against STLD's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: STLD's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-10.36%
Aug 7Sep 18
About STLD

Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Steel Dynamics, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a steel producer and metal recycler in the United States. It operates through four segments: Steel Operations, Metals Recycling Operations, Steel Fabrication Operations, and Aluminum Operations. The Steel Operations segment offers hot rolled, cold rolled, and coated steel products; parallel flange beams and channel sections, large unequal leg angles, and reinforcing steel bars, standard strength carbon, intermediate alloy hardness

The reading

How Dipsern reads STLD right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is STLD doing right now?

In plain terms: STLD is 16.6% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Steel Dynamics (STLD) sits 16.6% off its peak and is currently in a moderate correction, last printing at $235.26. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, STLD has spent enough trading days in the 20%-to-15% drawdown band to build a large sample (521 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for STLD

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for STLD reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to STLD's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

NextEra Energy

-16.6% from ATH

Intercontinental Exchange

-16.8% from ATH

Colgate-Palmolive

-16.2% from ATH

Baker Hughes

-17.2% from ATH

Snowflake Inc.

-17.3% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for STLD. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-90% to -85%1
-85% to -80%23
-80% to -75%44
-75% to -70%103
-70% to -65%282
-65% to -60%485
-60% to -55%655
-55% to -50%568
-50% to -45%525
-45% to -40%450
-40% to -35%496
-35% to -30%311
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of STLD's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock STLD's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for STLD.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy STLD at your own broker.

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Signal computed Sep 18, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.