US Stocks signal
SBUX

SBUX

Starbucks Corporation · Consumer Cyclical

US StocksRestaurantsNMSUSD-14.6% from ATH
Current Price

$95.83

Drawdown from ATH

-14.6%

Last Updated

Sep 18, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against SBUX's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: SBUX's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-8.71%
Aug 7Sep 18
About SBUX

Starbucks Corporation

Starbucks Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a roaster, marketer, and retailer of coffee internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Channel Development. Its stores offer coffee, tea, and other beverages, roasted whole beans and ground coffees, complementary food, packaged coffees, single-serve products, and ready-to-drink beverages; and various food products, such as pastries, breakfast sandwiches, and lunch items. The co

The reading

How Dipsern reads SBUX right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is SBUX doing right now?

In plain terms: SBUX is 14.6% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now SBUX — Starbucks — is in a moderate correction, down 14.6% from its record high. Last price: $95.83. Corrections in this band are common during macro repricings (rate scares, sector rotations, earnings shocks). The question is whether the cause is durable or transient.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, SBUX has spent enough trading days in the 15%-to-10% drawdown band to build a large sample (1307 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for SBUX

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. This is the band where most successful "buy the dip" strategies have historically operated. The median forward return here for SBUX is in the full app, alongside the segment-level win rate.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to SBUX's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Eversource Energy

-14.5% from ATH

Fox Corporation (Class A)

-14.5% from ATH

Becton Dickinson

-14.5% from ATH

Exelon

-14.8% from ATH

Keurig Dr Pepper

-14.4% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for SBUX. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-85% to -80%2
-80% to -75%71
-75% to -70%52
-70% to -65%41
-65% to -60%90
-60% to -55%78
-55% to -50%98
-50% to -45%99
-45% to -40%167
-40% to -35%252
-35% to -30%348
-30% to -25%476
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of SBUX's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock SBUX's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for SBUX.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy SBUX at your own broker.

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Signal computed Sep 18, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.