US Stocks signal
MRK

MRK

Merck & Co., Inc. · Healthcare

US StocksDrug Manufacturers - GeneralNYQUSD-13.4% from ATH
Current Price

$115.17

Drawdown from ATH

-13.4%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against MRK's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: MRK's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+1.79%
May 5Jun 16
About MRK

Merck & Co., Inc.

Merck & Co., Inc. operates as a healthcare company worldwide. It offers human health pharmaceutical for various areas under the Keytruda, Keytruda Qlex, Welireg, Gardasil, ProQuad, M-M-R II, Varivax, Vaxneuvance, Capvaxive, RotaTeq, Pneumovax 23, Bridion, Prevymis, Dificid, Zerbaxa, Winrevair, Adempas/ Verquvo, Ohtuvayre, Lagevrio, Isentress/Isentress HD, Delstrigo, Pifeltro, Belsomra, Januvia, and Janumet brands. The company also provides veterinary pharmaceuticals, vaccines and health manageme

The reading

How Dipsern reads MRK right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is MRK doing right now?

In plain terms: MRK is 13.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now MRK — Merck & Co. — is in a moderate correction, down 13.4% from its record high. Last price: $115.17. Corrections in this band are common during macro repricings (rate scares, sector rotations, earnings shocks). The question is whether the cause is durable or transient.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

MRK reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (1779 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for MRK

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. This is the band where most successful "buy the dip" strategies have historically operated. The median forward return here for MRK is in the full app, alongside the segment-level win rate.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to MRK's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Dell Technologies

-13.3% from ATH

Colgate-Palmolive

-13.1% from ATH

CrowdStrike

-13.1% from ATH

Mondelez International

-13.8% from ATH

Moody's Corporation

-12.8% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for MRK. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-70% to -65%51
-65% to -60%256
-60% to -55%243
-55% to -50%229
-50% to -45%441
-45% to -40%1095
-40% to -35%859
-35% to -30%722
-30% to -25%928
-25% to -20%1139
-20% to -15%1413
-15% to -10%Current1779
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of MRK's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock MRK's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for MRK.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy MRK at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.