US Stocks signal
PM

PM

Philip Morris International Inc. · Consumer Defensive

US StocksTobaccoNYQUSD-4.1% from ATH
Current Price

$184.06

Drawdown from ATH

-4.1%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against PM's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: PM's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+8.62%
May 5Jun 16
About PM

Philip Morris International Inc.

Philip Morris International Inc. operates as a tobacco company. The company offers cigarettes and smoke-free products, including heat-not-burn, e-vapor, and oral nicotine products under the IQOS, VEEV, and ZYN brands; and consumer accessories, such as lighters and matches. It also offers wellness products. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.

The reading

How Dipsern reads PM right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is PM doing right now?

In plain terms: PM is 4.1% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Philip Morris International (PM) sits 4.1% off its peak and is currently in a shallow pullback, last printing at $184.06. Shallow pullbacks like this are routine — historically US Stocks assets revisit a 5-10% dip several times a year, and most resolve back to highs within weeks.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, PM has spent enough trading days in the 5%-to-0% drawdown band to build a large sample (1751 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for PM

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for PM reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Shallow pullbacks are where dip-buying frameworks start to pay off, but only marginally. The median forward return in shallow bands is usually positive but not dramatic.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to PM's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Southern Company

-4.1% from ATH

Arm Holdings

-3.9% from ATH

Amphenol

-4.3% from ATH

Prologis

-4.5% from ATH

Loews Corporation

-3.5% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for PM. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-45% to -40%15
-40% to -35%35
-35% to -30%207
-30% to -25%241
-25% to -20%304
-20% to -15%239
-15% to -10%600
-10% to -5%1138
-5% to 0%Current1751
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of PM's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock PM's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for PM.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy PM at your own broker.

Analyze PM Free

No credit card required · 5 free analyses per month

Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.