Canadian Stocks signal
OTEX

OTEX

Open Text Corporation · Technology

Canadian StocksSoftware - ApplicationTORCAD-48.7% from ATH
Current Price

$30.96

Drawdown from ATH

-48.7%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against OTEX's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: OTEX's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-3.16%
May 5Jun 16
About OTEX

Open Text Corporation

Open Text Corporation designs, develops, markets, and sells information management software and solutions in North, Central, and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Australia, Japan, Singapore, India, and China. The company offers cloud services and subscriptions, including software as a service offerings, application programming interfaces and data services, and private, public, and off-cloud products, such as hosted services and managed service arrangements; foundational platform o

The reading

How Dipsern reads OTEX right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is OTEX doing right now?

In plain terms: OTEX is 48.7% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Open Text Corp (OTEX) is trading in a severe drawdown, 48.7% below its all-time high at $30.96. Severe drawdowns separate structurally sound assets from the ones that don't recover. The historical data below shows what OTEX did after similar episodes.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

OTEX reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (375 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for OTEX

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to OTEX's own volatility history. At this depth, focus on prediction error and sample size before median return. A high historical median return at -40% means nothing if the prediction error was also 30%.

Comparable signals

Other Canadian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to OTEX's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

CGI Inc

-45.7% from ATH

Constellation Software Inc

-44.3% from ATH

Northland Power Inc

-44.0% from ATH

Colliers International Group Inc

-43.2% from ATH

Descartes Systems Group Inc

-43.0% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for OTEX. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-75% to -70%4
-70% to -65%76
-65% to -60%252
-60% to -55%342
-55% to -50%454
-50% to -45%Current375
-45% to -40%320
-40% to -35%340
-35% to -30%320
-30% to -25%378
-25% to -20%552
-20% to -15%592
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of OTEX's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock OTEX's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for OTEX.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy OTEX at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.