Canadian Stocks signal
MDA

MDA

MDA Space Ltd. · Industrials

Canadian StocksAerospace & DefenseTORCAD-21.7% from ATH
Current Price

$52.57

Drawdown from ATH

-21.7%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against MDA's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: MDA's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+26.31%
May 5Jun 16
About MDA

MDA Space Ltd.

MDA Space Ltd. provides space technology solutions and services in Canada, the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and internationally. It offers satellite communications solutions, such as space-based broadband Internet, direct-to-device satellite communication, and IoT connectivity; MDA AURORA, a software-defined digital satellite product line; and autonomous robotics systems and services used to operate in space and on the surfaces of the Moon and Mars. The company also provides rob

The reading

How Dipsern reads MDA right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is MDA doing right now?

In plain terms: MDA is 21.7% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now MDA — MDA Space Ltd — is in a deep drawdown, down 21.7% from its record high. Last price: $52.57. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for MDA specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, MDA has spent enough trading days in the 25%-to-20% drawdown band to build a meaningful sample (68 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for MDA

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to MDA's own volatility history. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other Canadian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to MDA's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Pan American Silver Corp

-21.8% from ATH

Waste Connections Inc

-21.2% from ATH

AtkinsRealis Group Inc

-20.7% from ATH

Wheaton Precious Metals Corp

-20.6% from ATH

Brookfield Asset Management Ltd

-19.8% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for MDA. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-70% to -65%23
-65% to -60%110
-60% to -55%77
-55% to -50%110
-50% to -45%102
-45% to -40%62
-40% to -35%88
-35% to -30%74
-30% to -25%53
-25% to -20%Current68
-20% to -15%125
-15% to -10%117
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of MDA's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock MDA's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for MDA.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy MDA at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.