US Stocks signal
N

NXP

Nuveen Select Tax-Free Income Portfolio

US Stocks-7.5% from ATH
Current Price

$14.15

Drawdown from ATH

-7.5%

Last Updated

Jun 8, 2026

Dipsern Grade

D

Weak
Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-0.26%
Apr 24Jun 5
The reading

How Dipsern reads NXP right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is NXP doing right now?

Right now NXP — Nuveen Select Tax-Free Income Portfolio — is in a shallow pullback, down 7.5% from its record high. Last price: $14.15. A move of this size is statistically unremarkable. It's the kind of pullback that bounces fast or extends into a deeper correction; the next leg is what matters.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, NXP has spent enough trading days in the 10%-to-5% drawdown band to build a large sample (1843 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for NXP

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. This drawdown band tends to mean-revert quickly. The Dipsern win rate here is informative — if it's well above 50%, momentum traders treat these dips as buy-the-pullback setups.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to NXP's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Hartford (The)

-7.5% from ATH

U.S. Bancorp

-7.3% from ATH

Consolidated Edison

-7.2% from ATH

Cloudflare, Inc.

-8.3% from ATH

Analog Devices

-8.3% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for NXP. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-30% to -25%48
-25% to -20%196
-20% to -15%456
-15% to -10%887
-10% to -5%Current1843
-5% to 0%5121
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of NXP's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

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Signal computed Jun 8, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.