US Stocks signal
ABNB

ABNB

Airbnb, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical

US StocksTravel ServicesNMSUSD-17.9% from ATH
Current Price

$178.07

Drawdown from ATH

-17.9%

Last Updated

Aug 10, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against ABNB's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: ABNB's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+22.33%
Jun 26Aug 7
About ABNB

Airbnb, Inc.

Airbnb, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a platform for stays, experiences, and services worldwide. The company's marketplace connects hosts and guests online or through mobile devices to book spaces, experiences, and services. It also offers gift cards. The company was formerly known as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc. and changed its name to Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010. Airbnb, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

The reading

How Dipsern reads ABNB right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is ABNB doing right now?

In plain terms: ABNB is 17.9% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Airbnb (ABNB) sits 17.9% off its peak and is currently in a moderate correction, last printing at $178.07. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, ABNB has spent enough trading days in the 20%-to-15% drawdown band to build a modest sample (47 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for ABNB

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for ABNB reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to ABNB's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Snowflake Inc.

-17.8% from ATH

Microchip Technology

-17.5% from ATH

Bunge Global

-17.5% from ATH

Vale S.A.

-17.5% from ATH

CME Group

-17.3% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for ABNB. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-65% to -60%8
-60% to -55%42
-55% to -50%61
-50% to -45%178
-45% to -40%270
-40% to -35%281
-35% to -30%187
-30% to -25%100
-25% to -20%104
-20% to -15%Current47
-15% to -10%23
-10% to -5%26
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of ABNB's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock ABNB's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for ABNB.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy ABNB at your own broker.

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Signal computed Aug 10, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.