US Stocks signal
N

NI

NiSource

US Stocks-3.5% from ATH
Current Price

$46.61

Drawdown from ATH

-3.5%

Last Updated

Jun 8, 2026

Dipsern Grade

D

Weak
Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-2.27%
Apr 24Jun 5
The reading

How Dipsern reads NI right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is NI doing right now?

NI (NiSource) is 3.5% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a shallow pullback, with the last trade at $46.61. Shallow pullbacks like this are routine — historically US Stocks assets revisit a 5-10% dip several times a year, and most resolve back to highs within weeks.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, NI has spent enough trading days in the 5%-to-0% drawdown band to build a large sample (3784 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for NI

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for NI reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Shallow pullbacks are where dip-buying frameworks start to pay off, but only marginally. The median forward return in shallow bands is usually positive but not dramatic.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to NI's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Fortinet

-3.3% from ATH

Altria

-3.2% from ATH

Bunge Global

-3.8% from ATH

Nucor

-3.0% from ATH

WEC Energy Group

-4.1% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for NI. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-70% to -65%2
-65% to -60%16
-60% to -55%345
-55% to -50%507
-50% to -45%879
-45% to -40%976
-40% to -35%685
-35% to -30%552
-30% to -25%985
-25% to -20%1009
-20% to -15%887
-15% to -10%1243
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of NI's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

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Signal computed Jun 8, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.