US Stocks signal
AMZN

AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical

US StocksInternet RetailNMSUSD-2.1% from ATH
Current Price

$278.09

Drawdown from ATH

-2.1%

Last Updated

Aug 11, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against AMZN's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: AMZN's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+15.80%
Jun 29Aug 10
About AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products, advertising, and subscriptions service through online and physical stores in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, fire tablets, fire TVs, echo, ring, blink, and eero; and develops and produces media content. In addition, the company offers programs that enable

The reading

How Dipsern reads AMZN right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is AMZN doing right now?

In plain terms: AMZN is 2.1% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Amazon (AMZN) is trading in a shallow pullback, 2.1% below its all-time high at $278.09. A move of this size is statistically unremarkable. It's the kind of pullback that bounces fast or extends into a deeper correction; the next leg is what matters.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, AMZN has spent enough trading days in the 5%-to-0% drawdown band to build a large sample (1611 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for AMZN

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. This drawdown band tends to mean-revert quickly. The Dipsern win rate here is informative — if it's well above 50%, momentum traders treat these dips as buy-the-pullback setups.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to AMZN's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Dell Technologies

-2.0% from ATH

Berkshire Hathaway (B)

-1.9% from ATH

Equinor ASA

-2.3% from ATH

Honeywell

-2.4% from ATH

Fortinet

-2.4% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for AMZN. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-95% to -90%98
-90% to -85%234
-85% to -80%162
-80% to -75%114
-75% to -70%86
-70% to -65%332
-65% to -60%351
-60% to -55%233
-55% to -50%208
-50% to -45%177
-45% to -40%159
-40% to -35%186
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of AMZN's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock AMZN's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for AMZN.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy AMZN at your own broker.

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Signal computed Aug 11, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.