US Stocks signal
MKC

MKC

McCormick & Company, Incorporated · Consumer Defensive

US StocksPackaged FoodsNYQUSD-50.3% from ATH
Current Price

$47.19

Drawdown from ATH

-50.3%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against MKC's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: MKC's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-2.68%
May 5Jun 16
About MKC

McCormick & Company, Incorporated

McCormick & Company, Incorporated manufactures, markets, and distributes herbs, spices, seasoning mixes, condiments, and other flavorful products to the food industry. It operates in two segments, Consumer and Flavor Solutions. The Consumer segment offers spices, herbs, and seasonings, as well as condiments and sauces, and desserts. This segment markets its products under the McCormick, French's, Frank's RedHot, Lawry's, Cholula Hot Sauce, Club House, Gourmet Garden, and OLD BAY brands in the Am

The reading

How Dipsern reads MKC right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is MKC doing right now?

In plain terms: MKC is 50.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

McCormick & Company (MKC) sits 50.3% off its peak and is currently in a severe drawdown, last printing at $47.19. A 35-60% drawdown is the territory where most retail investors capitulate. It's also where the highest-probability historical entries have clustered for resilient assets.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

MKC reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (164 observations), which is a meaningful sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for MKC

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for MKC reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Severe drawdowns are where Dipsern's segmentation provides the most edge: ordinary base rates don't apply, but the asset's own history at this exact depth does. The forward-return distribution here is bimodal — either rapid recovery or continued decline.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to MKC's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Clorox

-50.6% from ATH

Axon Enterprise

-50.0% from ATH

PVH Corp.

-50.9% from ATH

Brown & Brown

-51.5% from ATH

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals

-48.4% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for MKC. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-65% to -60%3
-60% to -55%52
-55% to -50%Current164
-50% to -45%421
-45% to -40%563
-40% to -35%591
-35% to -30%687
-30% to -25%689
-25% to -20%1082
-20% to -15%1193
-15% to -10%1619
-10% to -5%2340
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of MKC's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock MKC's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for MKC.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy MKC at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.