US Stocks signal
MRVL

MRVL

Marvell Technology, Inc. · Technology

US StocksSemiconductorsNMSUSD-11.9% from ATH
Current Price

$278.67

Drawdown from ATH

-11.9%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against MRVL's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: MRVL's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+65.14%
May 5Jun 16
About MRVL

Marvell Technology, Inc.

Marvell Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides data infrastructure semiconductor solutions and spanning the data center core to network edge in the United States, Argentina, China, India, Israel, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, and internationally. The company develops and scales system-on-a-chip architectures, integrating analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing functionality. It offers a portfolio of ethernet solutions, including spanning controll

The reading

How Dipsern reads MRVL right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is MRVL doing right now?

In plain terms: MRVL is 11.9% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

MRVL (Marvell Technology) is 11.9% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a moderate correction, with the last trade at $278.67. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for MRVL — 187 confirmed observations in the 15%-to-10% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for MRVL

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for MRVL reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to MRVL's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

NextEra Energy

-11.9% from ATH

Atmos Energy

-11.8% from ATH

ON Semiconductor

-11.7% from ATH

Garmin

-12.2% from ATH

Procter & Gamble

-11.6% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for MRVL. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-95% to -90%5
-90% to -85%28
-85% to -80%222
-80% to -75%290
-75% to -70%366
-70% to -65%480
-65% to -60%523
-60% to -55%852
-55% to -50%743
-50% to -45%450
-45% to -40%399
-40% to -35%258
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of MRVL's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock MRVL's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for MRVL.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy MRVL at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.