Franco-Nevada Corporation · Basic Materials
$313.10
-18.3%
Jul 5, 2026
D
WeakGraded against FNV's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: FNV's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
Franco-Nevada Corporation operates as a royalty and stream company focused on precious metals in South America, Central America, Mexico, the United States, Canada, Australia, Europe, and Africa. It operates through Precious Metals, Other Mining and Energy segments. The company manages its portfolio with a focus on precious metals, such as gold, silver, and platinum group metals; and engages in the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a third-party marketing agent. Fran
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: FNV is 18.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
Right now FNV — Franco-Nevada Corp — is in a moderate correction, down 18.3% from its record high. Last price: $313.1. Corrections in this band are common during macro repricings (rate scares, sector rotations, earnings shocks). The question is whether the cause is durable or transient.
Across all available history, FNV has spent enough trading days in the 20%-to-15% drawdown band to build a large sample (723 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.
Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to FNV's own volatility history. This is the band where most successful "buy the dip" strategies have historically operated. The median forward return here for FNV is in the full app, alongside the segment-level win rate.
Five tickers closest to FNV's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for FNV. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of FNV's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for FNV.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy FNV at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jul 5, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.