Canadian Stocks signal
ATD

ATD

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. · Consumer Cyclical

Canadian StocksSpecialty RetailTORCAD-2.5% from ATH
Current Price

$91.38

Drawdown from ATH

-2.5%

Last Updated

Jul 5, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against ATD's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: ATD's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-0.29%
Jun 25Aug 7
About ATD

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. operates and licenses convenience stores in North America, Europe, and Asia. It offers cigarette products and other nicotine products, beverages, beer, wine, fresh food offerings comprising quick service restaurants, candy and snacks, grocery items, and car wash and other services; road transportation fuels and operates electric vehicles charging stations; sells energy for stationary engines and aviation fuels; sells lottery tickets, and calling and gift cards; and

The reading

How Dipsern reads ATD right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is ATD doing right now?

In plain terms: ATD is 2.5% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (ATD) sits 2.5% off its peak and is currently in a shallow pullback, last printing at $91.38. Shallow pullbacks like this are routine — historically Canadian Stocks assets revisit a 5-10% dip several times a year, and most resolve back to highs within weeks.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for ATD — 2737 confirmed observations in the 5%-to-0% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in canadian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for ATD

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to ATD's own volatility history. Shallow pullbacks are where dip-buying frameworks start to pay off, but only marginally. The median forward return in shallow bands is usually positive but not dramatic.

Comparable signals

Other Canadian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to ATD's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Hydro One Ltd

-2.0% from ATH

CCL Industries Inc

-1.9% from ATH

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP

-3.5% from ATH

Bank of Montreal

-1.4% from ATH

Toronto-Dominion Bank

-1.4% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for ATD. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-65% to -60%14
-60% to -55%70
-55% to -50%260
-50% to -45%130
-45% to -40%94
-40% to -35%127
-35% to -30%162
-30% to -25%191
-25% to -20%272
-20% to -15%560
-15% to -10%1011
-10% to -5%1827
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of ATD's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock ATD's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for ATD.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy ATD at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jul 5, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.