ETFs signal
ESGV

ESGV

Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF

ETFsBTSUSD-1.7% from ATH
Current Price

$132.57

Drawdown from ATH

-1.7%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against ESGV's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: ESGV's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+4.27%
May 5Jun 16
About ESGV

Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF

The adviser attempts to replicate the target index by investing all, or substantially all, of its assets in the stocks that make up the index, holding each stock in approximately the same proportion as its weighting in the index. The index, which is market capitalization-weighted, is composed of large-, mid-, and small-cap stocks of companies located in the United States that are screened for certain environmental, social, and corporate governance (ESG) criteria by the index provider, which is i

The reading

How Dipsern reads ESGV right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is ESGV doing right now?

In plain terms: ESGV is 1.7% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF (ESGV) sits 1.7% off its peak and is currently at or near all-time highs, last printing at $132.57. That puts ESGV in a momentum regime: buyers are in control and there's no meaningful technical damage on the chart yet.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, ESGV has spent enough trading days in the 5%-to-0% drawdown band to build a large sample (1124 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for ESGV

For broad-index ETFs the historical base rate is exceptionally stable; for narrow thematic ETFs (e.g., ARKK, cannabis, leveraged), drawdowns are deeper and the sample size at each band is smaller. At this level the Dipsern signal is mostly tracking momentum, not mean reversion. Most buying-the-dip frameworks aren't relevant when there is no dip.

Comparable signals

Other ETFs at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to ESGV's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

FlexShares STOXX Global Broad Infrastructure Index Fund

-1.7% from ATH

Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF

-1.7% from ATH

SPDR Portfolio Emerging Markets ETF

-1.6% from ATH

Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF

-1.8% from ATH

iShares TIPS Bond ETF

-1.5% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for ESGV. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-35% to -30%2
-30% to -25%43
-25% to -20%133
-20% to -15%149
-15% to -10%173
-10% to -5%258
-5% to 0%Current1124
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of ESGV's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock ESGV's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for ESGV.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy ESGV at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.