US Stocks signal
DPZ

DPZ

Domino's Pizza, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical

US StocksRestaurantsNMSUSD-34.0% from ATH
Current Price

$350.95

Drawdown from ATH

-34.0%

Last Updated

Aug 10, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against DPZ's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: DPZ's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+17.70%
Jun 26Aug 7
About DPZ

Domino's Pizza, Inc.

Domino's Pizza, Inc. operates as a pizza company worldwide. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain. It offers pizzas under the Domino's brand name through company-owned and franchised stores. The company also provides bread products, wings, boneless chicken, pastas, oven-baked sandwiches, soft drink products and desserts. In addition, it offers parmesan stuffed crust pizza; spicy chicken bacon ranch specialty pizza; and garlic, and cin

The reading

How Dipsern reads DPZ right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is DPZ doing right now?

In plain terms: DPZ is 34% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now DPZ — Domino's — is in a deep drawdown, down 34.0% from its record high. Last price: $350.95. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for DPZ specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for DPZ — 233 confirmed observations in the 35%-to-30% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for DPZ

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to DPZ's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

T-Mobile US

-33.9% from ATH

American Tower

-34.2% from ATH

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals

-34.2% from ATH

Axon Enterprise

-34.4% from ATH

Cognizant

-34.6% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for DPZ. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-90% to -85%5
-85% to -80%16
-80% to -75%24
-75% to -70%30
-70% to -65%63
-65% to -60%122
-60% to -55%54
-55% to -50%14
-50% to -45%65
-45% to -40%172
-40% to -35%333
-35% to -30%Current233
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of DPZ's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock DPZ's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for DPZ.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy DPZ at your own broker.

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Signal computed Aug 10, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.