Brazilian Stocks signal
CPFE3

CPFE3

CPFL Energia S.A. · Utilities

Brazilian StocksUtilities - Regulated ElectricSAOBRL-16.3% from ATH
Current Price

$43.77

Drawdown from ATH

-16.3%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against CPFE3's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: CPFE3's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-11.41%
May 5Jun 16
About CPFE3

CPFL Energia S.A.

CPFL Energia S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates as an energy company in Brazil. It operates through Distribution, Generation, Transmission, Commercialization, and Services segments. The company generates electricity through hydroelectric, solar, wind, and biomass sources; and provides energy management and commercialization, energy efficiency, distributed generation, energy infrastructure, and consultancy services. It also engages in the construction, operation, and maintenance of electric

The reading

How Dipsern reads CPFE3 right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is CPFE3 doing right now?

In plain terms: CPFE3 is 16.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

CPFE3 (CPFL Energia SA) is 16.3% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a moderate correction, with the last trade at $43.77. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for CPFE3 — 931 confirmed observations in the 20%-to-15% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in brazilian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for CPFE3

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to CPFE3's own volatility history. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other Brazilian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to CPFE3's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Equatorial Energia SA

-17.1% from ATH

Itau Unibanco Holding SA

-17.3% from ATH

Banco Bradesco SA

-17.3% from ATH

Vibra Energia SA

-18.4% from ATH

Itausa SA

-14.3% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for CPFE3. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-65% to -60%21
-60% to -55%79
-55% to -50%201
-50% to -45%71
-45% to -40%210
-40% to -35%315
-35% to -30%259
-30% to -25%382
-25% to -20%612
-20% to -15%Current931
-15% to -10%1097
-10% to -5%843
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of CPFE3's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock CPFE3's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for CPFE3.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy CPFE3 at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.