BPAC11

How is BPAC11 doing right now?

In plain terms: BPAC11 is 21.2% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, BTG Pactual SA (BPAC11) is trading in a deep drawdown, 21.2% below its all-time high at $50.7. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for BPAC11 specifically.

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for BPAC11 — 192 confirmed observations in the 25%-to-20% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in brazilian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

What this means for BPAC11

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to BPAC11's own volatility history. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.