US Stocks signal
AZO

AZO

AutoZone, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical

US StocksAuto PartsNYQUSD-28.2% from ATH
Current Price

$3,127.79

Drawdown from ATH

-28.2%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

B

Solid

Graded against AZO's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: A solid but not standout setup based on AZO's own past dips at this level.

What to do: Fine for dollar-cost-averaging; a deeper dip has historically graded higher.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-11.67%
May 5Jun 16
About AZO

AutoZone, Inc.

AutoZone, Inc. operates as a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories in the United States, Mexico, and Brazil. The company offers a product line for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans, and light duty trucks, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products. It also provides A/C compressors, batteries and accessories, bearings, belts and hoses, calipers, chassis, clutches, CV axles, engines, fuel p

The reading

How Dipsern reads AZO right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is AZO doing right now?

In plain terms: AZO is 28.2% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now AZO — AutoZone — is in a deep drawdown, down 28.2% from its record high. Last price: $3,127.79. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for AZO specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for AZO — 433 confirmed observations in the 30%-to-25% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for AZO

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to AZO's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Northrop Grumman

-28.2% from ATH

Amcor

-28.0% from ATH

Science Applications International Corporation

-27.9% from ATH

Ares Management

-29.1% from ATH

Avery Dennison

-27.0% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for AZO. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-50% to -45%2
-45% to -40%78
-40% to -35%227
-35% to -30%255
-30% to -25%Current433
-25% to -20%589
-20% to -15%950
-15% to -10%1118
-10% to -5%1802
-5% to 0%3350
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of AZO's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock AZO's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for AZO.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy AZO at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.