US Stocks signal
S

SNOW

Snowflake Inc.

US Stocks-40.7% from ATH
Current Price

$238.26

Drawdown from ATH

-40.7%

Last Updated

Jun 8, 2026

Dipsern Grade

C

Marginal
Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+69.80%
Apr 24Jun 5
The reading

How Dipsern reads SNOW right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is SNOW doing right now?

SNOW (Snowflake Inc.) is 40.7% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a severe drawdown, with the last trade at $238.26. A 35-60% drawdown is the territory where most retail investors capitulate. It's also where the highest-probability historical entries have clustered for resilient assets.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, SNOW has spent enough trading days in the 45%-to-40% drawdown band to build a meaningful sample (113 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for SNOW

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for SNOW reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Severe drawdowns are where Dipsern's segmentation provides the most edge: ordinary base rates don't apply, but the asset's own history at this exact depth does. The forward-return distribution here is bimodal — either rapid recovery or continued decline.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to SNOW's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

MongoDB, Inc.

-40.0% from ATH

Cognizant

-39.7% from ATH

United Parcel Service

-42.0% from ATH

Blackstone Inc.

-39.0% from ATH

Broadridge Financial Solutions

-42.5% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for SNOW. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-75% to -70%57
-70% to -65%132
-65% to -60%272
-60% to -55%218
-55% to -50%125
-50% to -45%97
-45% to -40%Current113
-40% to -35%76
-35% to -30%51
-30% to -25%47
-25% to -20%45
-20% to -15%38
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of SNOW's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

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See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and AI-powered interpretation for SNOW.

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Signal computed Jun 8, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.