adidas AG · Consumer Cyclical
$176.35
-44.7%
Jun 17, 2026
C
MarginalGraded against ADS's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: ADS's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
adidas AG, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, produces, and markets a range of athletic and sports lifestyle products in Europe, Greater China, Japan, South Korea, Latin America, North America, and internationally. The company offers footwear and apparel, as well as accessories and gear, including bags, balls, sunglasses, and fitness equipment under the adidas brand; golf footwear and apparel under the adidas Golf brand; and outdoor footwear under the Five Ten brand. It sells its
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: ADS is 44.7% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
As of the latest market close, Adidas AG (ADS) is trading in a severe drawdown, 44.7% below its all-time high at $176.35. Severe drawdowns separate structurally sound assets from the ones that don't recover. The historical data below shows what ADS did after similar episodes.
ADS reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (354 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.
Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to ADS's own volatility history. At this depth, focus on prediction error and sample size before median return. A high historical median return at -40% means nothing if the prediction error was also 30%.
Five tickers closest to ADS's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for ADS. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of ADS's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for ADS.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy ADS at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.