EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme · Healthcare
$183.55
-41.4%
Jun 17, 2026
D
WeakGraded against EL's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: EL's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme designs, manufactures, and distributes ophthalmic lenses, frames, sunglasses, and instruments and equipment in North America, the Middle East, Africa, Europe, Latin America, and the Asia-Pacific. It offers lens, eyewear, contact lenses, reading glasses under Essilor, Varilux, Crizal, Eyezen, Stellest, Xperio, Transitions, Ray-Ban, Oakley, Barberini, KODAK Lens, Nikon, Shamir Optical, eyexpert, iWear, Humanware, Optifog, Persol, Oliver Peoples, Vogue Eyewear, Arne
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: EL is 41.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
EL (EssilorLuxottica SA) is 41.4% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a severe drawdown, with the last trade at $183.55. A 35-60% drawdown is the territory where most retail investors capitulate. It's also where the highest-probability historical entries have clustered for resilient assets.
EL has rarely been in the 45% to 40% drawdown band over its trading history, so the sample size for forecasting forward returns is small. We surface this transparently — small samples are still informative, but the confidence interval is wider than for assets with decades of data at this level.
Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to EL's own volatility history. Severe drawdowns are where Dipsern's segmentation provides the most edge: ordinary base rates don't apply, but the asset's own history at this exact depth does. The forward-return distribution here is bimodal — either rapid recovery or continued decline.
Five tickers closest to EL's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for EL. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of EL's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for EL.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy EL at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.