XOM

How is XOM doing right now?

In plain terms: XOM is 6.2% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now XOM — ExxonMobil — is in a shallow pullback, down 6.2% from its record high. Last price: $159.8. A move of this size is statistically unremarkable. It's the kind of pullback that bounces fast or extends into a deeper correction; the next leg is what matters.

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for XOM — 3561 confirmed observations in the 10%-to-5% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

What this means for XOM

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. This drawdown band tends to mean-revert quickly. The Dipsern win rate here is informative — if it's well above 50%, momentum traders treat these dips as buy-the-pullback setups.