WMT

How is WMT doing right now?

In plain terms: WMT is 16.7% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now WMT — Walmart — is in a moderate correction, down 16.7% from its record high. Last price: $111.85. Corrections in this band are common during macro repricings (rate scares, sector rotations, earnings shocks). The question is whether the cause is durable or transient.

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for WMT — 1515 confirmed observations in the 20%-to-15% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

What this means for WMT

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. This is the band where most successful "buy the dip" strategies have historically operated. The median forward return here for WMT is in the full app, alongside the segment-level win rate.