Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index Fund ETF Shares
$49.67
-1.6%
Aug 10, 2026
D
WeakGraded against VTIP's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: VTIP's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
The index is a market-capitalization-weighted index that includes all inflation-protected public obligations issued by the U.S. Treasury with remaining maturities of less than 5 years.
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: VTIP is 1.6% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF (VTIP) sits 1.6% off its peak and is currently at or near all-time highs, last printing at $49.67. That puts VTIP in a momentum regime: buyers are in control and there's no meaningful technical damage on the chart yet.
VTIP reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (3402 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.
For broad-index ETFs the historical base rate is exceptionally stable; for narrow thematic ETFs (e.g., ARKK, cannabis, leveraged), drawdowns are deeper and the sample size at each band is smaller. At this level the Dipsern signal is mostly tracking momentum, not mean reversion. Most buying-the-dip frameworks aren't relevant when there is no dip.
Five tickers closest to VTIP's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for VTIP. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of VTIP's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for VTIP.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy VTIP at your own broker.
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Signal computed Aug 10, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.