Indian Stocks signal
VBL

VBL

Varun Beverages Limited · Consumer Defensive

Indian StocksBeverages - Non-AlcoholicNSIINR-19.3% from ATH
Current Price

$541.05

Drawdown from ATH

-19.3%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against VBL's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: VBL's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+6.31%
May 6Jun 16
About VBL

Varun Beverages Limited

Varun Beverages Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, bottles, sells, and distributes beverages under the PepsiCo brands in India, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Zambia, Morocco, Zimbabwe, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Mozambique, South Africa, Lesotho, Eswatini, Namibia, and Botswana. The company offers carbonated soft drinks under the Pepsi, Pepsi Zero, Mountain Dew, Mirinda, and Seven-Up brands, as well as the Refreshhh, Coo-ee, and Jive brands; fruit pulp and juice-based drinks under

The reading

How Dipsern reads VBL right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is VBL doing right now?

In plain terms: VBL is 19.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) is trading in a moderate correction, 19.3% below its all-time high at $541.05. Corrections in this band are common during macro repricings (rate scares, sector rotations, earnings shocks). The question is whether the cause is durable or transient.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, VBL has spent enough trading days in the 20%-to-15% drawdown band to build a meaningful sample (134 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for VBL

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to VBL's own volatility history. This is the band where most successful "buy the dip" strategies have historically operated. The median forward return here for VBL is in the full app, alongside the segment-level win rate.

Comparable signals

Other Indian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to VBL's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Hero MotoCorp Ltd.

-19.2% from ATH

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd.

-19.4% from ATH

Power Finance Corporation Ltd.

-19.0% from ATH

Bajaj Auto Ltd.

-19.5% from ATH

Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd.

-19.6% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for VBL. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-45% to -40%1
-40% to -35%15
-35% to -30%110
-30% to -25%135
-25% to -20%86
-20% to -15%Current134
-15% to -10%274
-10% to -5%584
-5% to 0%976
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of VBL's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock VBL's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for VBL.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy VBL at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.