ProShares Ultra Russell2000
$63.86
-1.7%
Jun 17, 2026
D
WeakGraded against UWM's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: UWM's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
The fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the Daily Target. The index is designed to measure the performance of the small-cap segment of the U.S. markets. Under normal circumstances, the fund will obtain leveraged exposure to at least 80% of its total assets in components of the index or in instruments with similar economic characteristics. It is non-diversified.
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: UWM is 1.7% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
UWM (ProShares Ultra Russell2000) is 1.7% below its historical peak. Tape reads at or near all-time highs, with the last trade at $63.86. That puts UWM in a momentum regime: buyers are in control and there's no meaningful technical damage on the chart yet.
UWM reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (722 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.
For broad-index ETFs the historical base rate is exceptionally stable; for narrow thematic ETFs (e.g., ARKK, cannabis, leveraged), drawdowns are deeper and the sample size at each band is smaller. At this level the Dipsern signal is mostly tracking momentum, not mean reversion. Most buying-the-dip frameworks aren't relevant when there is no dip.
Five tickers closest to UWM's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
FlexShares STOXX Global Broad Infrastructure Index Fund
-1.7% from ATH
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
-1.7% from ATH
Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF
-1.8% from ATH
SPDR Portfolio Emerging Markets ETF
-1.6% from ATH
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
-1.5% from ATH
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for UWM. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of UWM's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for UWM.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy UWM at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.