US Dollar / Indonesian Rupiah · Foreign Exchange
$18,050.00
-0.8%
Jul 10, 2026
D
WeakGraded against USDIDR's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: USDIDR's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
USD/IDR tracks the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Indonesian Rupiah. It is one of the most actively traded currency pairs in the global forex market, reflecting relative monetary policy, inflation, and economic growth between the two economies.
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: USDIDR is 0.8% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
USDIDR (USD/IDR) is 0.8% below its historical peak. Tape reads at or near all-time highs, with the last trade at $18,050. That puts USDIDR in a momentum regime: buyers are in control and there's no meaningful technical damage on the chart yet.
History at this drawdown level is well-populated for USDIDR — 985 confirmed observations in the 5%-to-0% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in forex return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.
For currency pairs, "drawdown from ATH" is less meaningful than relative-value bands. Treat the Dipsern signal as a mean-reversion gauge rather than a directional buy signal. At this level the Dipsern signal is mostly tracking momentum, not mean reversion. Most buying-the-dip frameworks aren't relevant when there is no dip.
Five tickers closest to USDIDR's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for USDIDR. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of USDIDR's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for USDIDR.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy USDIDR at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jul 10, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.