US Stocks signal
TXT

TXT

Textron Inc. · Industrials

US StocksAerospace & DefenseNYQUSD-20.9% from ATH
Current Price

$79.69

Drawdown from ATH

-20.9%

Last Updated

Sep 18, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against TXT's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: TXT's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-10.87%
Aug 7Sep 18
About TXT

Textron Inc.

Textron Inc. operates in the aircraft, defense, industrial, and finance businesses worldwide. It operates in six segments: Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, Textron eAviation, and Finance. The Textron Aviation segment manufactures, sells, and services business jets, turboprop and piston engine aircraft, and military trainer and defense aircraft, as well as offers maintenance, inspection, and repair services; commercial parts; and advanced flight training devices. The Bell segm

The reading

How Dipsern reads TXT right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is TXT doing right now?

In plain terms: TXT is 20.9% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Textron (TXT) is trading in a deep drawdown, 20.9% below its all-time high at $79.69. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for TXT specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, TXT has spent enough trading days in the 25%-to-20% drawdown band to build a large sample (1077 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for TXT

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to TXT's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Capital One

-20.6% from ATH

Howmet Aerospace

-21.5% from ATH

Datadog

-20.2% from ATH

Lockheed Martin

-20.2% from ATH

Take-Two Interactive

-21.7% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for TXT. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-95% to -90%39
-90% to -85%34
-85% to -80%88
-80% to -75%111
-75% to -70%286
-70% to -65%299
-65% to -60%447
-60% to -55%307
-55% to -50%385
-50% to -45%487
-45% to -40%668
-40% to -35%856
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of TXT's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock TXT's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for TXT.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy TXT at your own broker.

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Signal computed Sep 18, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.