US Stocks signal
TTD

TTD

The Trade Desk, Inc. · Communication Services

US StocksAdvertising AgenciesNGMUSD-86.4% from ATH
Current Price

$18.96

Drawdown from ATH

-86.4%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against TTD's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: TTD's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-22.96%
May 5Jun 16
About TTD

The Trade Desk, Inc.

The Trade Desk, Inc. operates as a technology company in the United States and internationally. The company creates, manages, and optimizes digital advertising campaigns across ad formats, channels and devices, including CTV and other video, display, audio, and native, on a multitude of devices, such televisions, streaming devices, mobile devices, computers and digital-out-of-home devices. It provides data and other value-added services. It serves advertising agencies, advertisers, and other ser

The reading

How Dipsern reads TTD right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is TTD doing right now?

In plain terms: TTD is 86.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Trade Desk (The) (TTD) is trading in a historic crash, 86.4% below its all-time high at $18.96. When an asset is this far below its peak, the binary becomes recovery vs. zero. Dipsern's segmentation answers the question with data, not narratives.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Historical data for TTD at this exact drawdown band (90% to 85% below ATH) is thin — fewer than five observations. That means any forward-return forecast at this level carries meaningful uncertainty. Dipsern flags this so you know when the signal is statistically robust and when it isn't.

Interpretation

What this means for TTD

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. In crash territory, the most informative number is the worst observed forward return — not the median. The full app shows the max-loss column for the current segment.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to TTD's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Docusign, Inc.

-85.7% from ATH

KLA Corporation

-87.7% from ATH

Charter Communications

-82.7% from ATH

Lyft, Inc.

-81.8% from ATH

Atlassian

-80.8% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for TTD. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-85% to -80%27
-80% to -75%11
-75% to -70%45
-70% to -65%29
-65% to -60%97
-60% to -55%86
-55% to -50%72
-50% to -45%111
-45% to -40%112
-40% to -35%113
-35% to -30%157
-30% to -25%199
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of TTD's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock TTD's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for TTD.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy TTD at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.